our family watches survival/survivor “השרדות” avidly.
realities are good for all ages and all levels of interest.
my 4 year old, Tal, is facinated if she knows/recoginizes the names of contenstens and something about them or their character.
what i like, is the family discussion about the characters and the plots contirved in the social dynamics.
this season of the Israeli Survivor is wonderful. the characters are fun, especially after Ziv is out.
and there is plenty of room for surprises as there is no Trinity or Iron Axis.
therefore, IMNSHO, in my (not so humble) opinion, now is a great time to starting a contest for guesses about who the final 3 contestants will be.
if you agree that now is a great time to make the guess, please read on.
i doubt that i will be able to guess, but it would be fun to try.
my initial Key is that a strong threesome can make it to the final.
a bit of backwards induction.
the final 3 can be an alliance of 3 out of the final 5.
the final 5 can be a dominant alliance of 8. (not 9 because of veto)
so, a strong 3 (with 2 others) can dominate a tribal counsel of 8 even without the powerful Veto power.
since that 3 with 2 others can make it to the final 5, IF (and this is a big IF), they keep their alliance they are in the final.
note there is some game theory involved. human emotions. psychological scratches. behavioralism. this is fun (and very hard to predict).
note that at this point, the fibonacci series is highly significant, and 2,3,5,8 are dominant numbers to some degree on how alliances can unfold.
this final 3, especially in order to survive the final 5, is composed of a strategist, a capable person (usually wins a hasinot/immunity – not just for physical abilities), and a cute person who tags along (this rule is an attempt to find order in chous and i do not think it will hold water over time).
dan mano, naama, noam,
arik, nata-li (atam meshaker, meshaker), and mirit.
talco, shai, and liad?
i have a lot of doubt about this, but think it would be fun to discuss. if there are enough comments, i will try and introduce other theories